
Are You Getting Paid for the Risk in Your Portfolio?
Investing is often sold as a simple linear equation. Many times, we are told that if you want a higher return, you must endure more risk. The logic feels intuitive. After all, if markets are uncertain, surely the reward must be higher for those willing to endure the discomfort of increased uncertainty. But the history of finances suggests a more nuanced reality. A real risk in an investment portfolio isn’t just the fact that prices go up and down. It is the danger that you are taking too much risk without the promise of a proportional reward. In the world of wealth management, this is known as uncompensated risk. It’s the risk that creates stress, complexity, and avoidable drawdowns without moving the needle on your financial goals. On the other hand, some risks are rewarded over time. A stronger portfolio takes the right risks, for a clear reason, and supports your investment goals. The challenge for individual investors is learning how to tell the difference, while still being cognizant of the mental challenges humans have concerning risk. What It Really Means to Get “Paid for Risk” Getting “paid for risk” means that your expected return is meaningfully higher because you accepted specific, intentional risks. To better understand risk and reward, we must first distinguish between the different types of exposure. Investors who buy a broad diversified portfolio of stocks are taking market risks. This is generally a compensated risk because historically, the market rewards those who provide capital to the global economy over a long investment horizon. However, many investments carry “uncompensated” risks. Consider concentration risk: putting a chunk of your assets into a single investment, such as a rapidly rising stock. While this could make you rich, it is not a risk the market pays you to take over time. While momentum can be an observed phenomenon of the market, so can the concept of reversion to the mean. A key part of good risk management is separating repeatable drivers of return from random exposure. While luck can carry your portfolio for a while, it’s your process that carries it across decades and increases your ability to stay invested through difficult periods. Identify the Risks You Are Actually Taking Your investment strategy might have hidden risks that don’t show up in your daily account balance until it’s too late. Effective risk management requires understanding that risk behaves differently across various environments. Interest Rate Risk When rates rise, the value of existing bonds typically falls. If your portfolio construction is heavy on long-term corporate bonds, you are highly sensitive to rate risk. Many people realized this in 2022. Inflation Risk Holding too many conservative investments or safe investments like cash might feel secure, but the impact of rising prices can erode your purchasing power over time. The issue of affordability, such as we’ve seen in 2025 and 2026, may have caused some investors to become more conservative with their investments, at the very time they need to maintain at least some exposure to investments that generally rise with inflation over time. Credit Risk and Default Risk This is the danger that a borrower won’t pay you back. High-yield securities offer higher potential but come with a greater chance of default risk. Liquidity Risk Some investment products restrict your access to your money. If you can’t sell an asset when you need cash, you’re facing liquidity risk—a major problem if you haven’t established a robust emergency fund. This can be a consideration for investors in certain alternative or private equity-type funds. Currency Risk For those with foreign investments, fluctuations in exchange rates can eat into your return even if the underlying company performs well. Spot Uncompensated Risk Hiding in Plain Sight Some of the most damaging risks are not obvious. Many portfolios suffer from “implementation drag”, which means you may be incurring risks that don’t offer a reward. This often includes: Concentration: Owning too many overlapping mutual funds or funds that create noise and higher costs without providing true diversification. Many investors don’t realize how many funds and ETFs hold the same securities. Performance Chasing: Rotating into different investments because they did well over the last 6 months, 12 months, or any prior period you choose. Historical returns are just one instance of what could have happened in the past, and we need to be careful trying to project history forward into the future. Overcomplication: The more parameters and risk indicators you use to create the “perfect” risk and reward balance, the more unaware you will be of the hidden dependencies and interactions between them. This creates a greater tendency to “curve fit”. Life rarely plays out to such precision. Measuring Risk the Right Way (Not just by Volatility) Many investors focus on volatility, but volatility is not really risk. It may be an indicator of risk, but it is only a surface-level metric. It is something we can measure, so we tend to use it to describe risk. Drawdown risk and sequence of return risk are other metrics and events that we can measure to determine their impact on a portfolio’s growth, but they still may not align with your specific situation. Probably the best definition of risk I have heard comes from Howard Marks, who stated that: “Risk is probability of a bad outcome”. While anyone can calculate volatility (or what they call risk) metrics from past data, success really comes down to just risk metrics; it comes down more to risk capacity. And everyone’s risk capacity is different. It is based on your own capacity to emotionally and financially endure a bad outcome, at various times in the future, based on your situation and goals. You should ask not only what the probability of a bad outcome would be, but also of those unfavorable outcomes, which ones would you be most likelyto be unable to recover from. This is the essence of the Porter Investment PPRO Investment Process. Check Whether Your Return Drivers Match Your Goals A








